A high-stakes standoff between Israel and Hamas intensified following an explosion in Rafah On Wednesday, December 24, 2025. The blast, which injured one Israeli soldier, has prompted Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to warn of a significant response, further complicating the transition to a permanent peace.
The Incident: Detonation in Rafah
The Israeli military (IDF) reported that an explosive device detonated beneath a military vehicle during “operational activity” aimed at dismantling militant infrastructure in southern Gaza.
- The Victim: One Israeli officer was lightly injured and evacuated to a hospital.
- The Cause: While Israel blamed Hamas, a Hamas official, Mahmoud Mrdawi, suggested on social media that the blast was caused by unexploded ordnance left behind from previous combat, rather than a fresh attack.
- The Response: Prime Minister Netanyahu called the incident a “flagrant violation” of the truce and stated: “Israel will respond accordingly.”
Diplomatic Push: The “Phase 2” Talks in Ankara
As tensions flared in Gaza, a Hamas delegation led by Khalil al-Hayya met with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara to discuss the second stage of the peace plan.
| Topic of Discussion | Hamas Position | Turkey’s Stance |
| Phase 2 Implementation | Claims they have fulfilled all conditions; accuses Israel of stalling. | Reaffirmed defense of Palestinian rights on global platforms. |
| Humanitarian Aid | 60% of trucks carry commercial goods, not urgent aid; severe lack of fuel/meds. | Working on addressing housing and urgent shelter needs in the Strip. |
| Ceasefire Violations | Alleges Israel continues “targeted strikes” to block peace progress. | Stressed that Israeli practices in the West Bank are “unacceptable.” |
Current Status of the October 10 Truce
The ceasefire, brokered in the final months of 2025 with heavy US backing, has significantly reduced the scale of the two-year war but remains extremely fragile.
- Hostage Exchange: Nearly all of the 251 hostages taken on October 7, 2023, have been returned (alive or deceased). A remaining sticking point is the return of the body of Master Sgt. Ran Gvili.
- Palestinian Casualties: Health officials in Gaza report that at least 406 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli fire since the “ceasefire” began on October 10.
- The Road Ahead: Phase 2 involves the most difficult hurdles:
- Deployment of an international stabilization force.
- Complete disarmament of Hamas.
- Full withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza.
- Establishment of a technocratic governing body.